If you’re following the Bernd Skorupinski strategy or learning through the Online Trading Campus, then mastering the Seasonality Forecasting Tool is essential. It’s one of the four core indicators Bernd uses in his institutional trading approach — and when used correctly, it helps you time trades with incredible precision.
In this post, I’ll show you exactly:
👉 Get LIFETIME access to ALL of Bernds indicators for just 99 EUR (limited time offer) – available here: linktr.ee/Thomasloophole
✅ What the seasonality tool does
✅ How it works
✅ And how I used it in a real crude oil backtest trade — alongside demand zones and structure — to capture a high-risk-reward move.
🌾 What Is the OTC Seasonality Forecasting Tool?
The OTC Forecasting Tool, also known as the Seasonality Indicator, helps traders identify recurring market patterns that happen around the same time every year.
Markets like crude oil, gold, corn, and wheat are driven by seasonal factors like:
Supply/demand cycles
Economic activity
Weather conditions
Institutional flow and positioning
The Seasonality Tool analyzes how an asset performed historically during each part of the year — using data from the last 5, 10, or 15 years — and generates a smooth curve of average seasonal performance.
What Makes It Powerful?
This is not about guessing or repeating last year’s moves. This tool gives you:
Statistical seasonality based on long-term data
A clean forecast of when an asset tends to rise or fall
A way to add time-based confluence to your trades
And that’s exactly how Bernd Skorupinski teaches it — not as a trigger, but a filter for precision.
🧪 Real Example: Crude Oil Seasonality + Demand Zone = Winning Setup
Let’s walk through a backtest trade I executed on Light Crude Oil Futures (CL1!) using the Seasonality Tool.
📉 Step 1: Price Approaches a Demand Zone
As you can see in the chart, price dropped sharply into a clear institutional demand zone — an area of previous buying interest.
This told me we might be getting close to a potential reversal.
📈 Step 2: Forecasting Tool Shows Bullish Seasonality
Now, this is where the Seasonality Tool confirmed the setup.
I applied the OTC Forecasting Tool with three different lookback periods:
✅ 5-year average (green line) 🟢
✅ 10-year average (red line) 🔴
✅ 15-year average (blue line) 🔵
All three curves were:
Trending upward
Aligning in the same seasonal time window
Showing that crude oil tends to rally between late December and February
This was powerful confirmation that institutions historically accumulate oil around this time of year.
📊 Step 3: Trade Execution and Result
With both:
✅ Price at demand
✅ Seasonality aligned across multiple timeframes
…I placed the trade with a target back to the most recent supply zone.
📈 Result: The price reversed exactly as expected, hitting the target with a Risk-to-Reward ratio of 1:5.8
This is a textbook example of what Bernd Skorupinski calls a “full confluence setup” — and why he emphasizes that seasonality is a timing tool, not a signal.
How to Use the Seasonality Tool
To use the Seasonality Forecasting Tool like a pro:
🔍 Wait for price to approach structure (demand/supply)
📅 Check if seasonal data supports a reversal
⚠️ Only trade if at least 2 of 3 curves (5, 10, 15 years) agree
🎯 Combine with the other Bernd indicators (Valuation Tool, COT, Smart Money Index)
🔧 Tools Used in This Strategy
This trade setup was done using two of Bernd Skorupinski’s 4 signature trading indicators, taught at Online Trading Campus:
🧭 Seasonality Forecasting Tool (for timing)
💵 Valuation Tool (for relative price strength)
The full suite includes:
Smart Money Index
COT Net Position
Valuation Tool
Seasonality Forecasting Tool
🛒 Want Access to These Tools?
📩 Get LIFETIME access to all 4 institutional trading indicators for just 99 EUR
(Only available through trusted OTC affiliates)
👉 Click here to get started: linktr.ee/Thomasloophole
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